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Interest Rates · October 30, 2026 · 2 min read

October 30 Treasury curve: 10-year rate falls to 4.94%

By Econ Data Tools Editorial Team

Published October 30, 2026 • Updated October 30, 2026

Treasury’s daily table shows the two-year rate at 4.56% and the 30-year at 5.31%. These closing-curve observations are not live trading quotes or Fed policy probabilities.

The U.S. Treasury’s October 30 daily par yield curve puts the 10-year rate at 4.94%, down from 4.98% on October 29. That is a four-basis-point decline, not a rise toward 5% during the day. These are dated daily par-curve observations rather than a live trading quote. The two-year rate fell to 4.56% from 4.61%, while the 30-year rate slipped to 5.31% from 5.32%. The five-year rate declined to 4.71% from 4.78%, and the seven-year rate fell to 4.80% from 4.87%. The moves were not uniform across all maturities. At the short end, the one-month rate was unchanged at 4.06%, the three-month rate fell to 4.16% from 4.18%, and the one-year rate declined to 4.36% from 4.42%. The 20-year rate moved to 5.34% from 5.35%. All figures are percentages from the same Treasury table. Treasury says its par yield curve uses indicative market bid quotations obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at approximately 3:30 p.m. each business day. The quoted inputs concern recently auctioned Treasury securities, and Treasury derives the par yields from those prices. The data are not a record of every intraday transaction. The 10-year rate had been 5.05% on October 28. Comparing the October 30 and October 28 observations therefore gives an 11-basis-point decline across those two business-day intervals. The current table does not support characterizing the latest observation as a new breach of 5%. This release describes Treasury borrowing benchmarks, not a household mortgage offer or a Federal Reserve policy decision. The curve alone does not identify what caused the change, establish a probability for the next Fed meeting or show that every consumer and business borrowing rate moved by the same amount. Those claims require separate sources.

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